Creating Market Economy in Eastern Europe
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7. Creating a safety net:
Setting up an emergency unemployment compensation scheme; targeting aid in kind or in cash to those threatened with severe hard ship by the reforms.
8. Stabilizing the macroeconomic:
Managing the government budget to avoid an excessive fiscal deficit and managing the total credit provided by the banking system.
Finally there are tasks related to privatization:
9. Small-scale privatization:
Releasing to the private sector trucks and buses, retail shops, restaurants, repair shops, warehouses, and other building space for economic activities; establishing the private right to purchase services from railroads, ports, and other enterprises which may remain in the public sector.
10. Large-scale privatization:
Transferring medium and large-scale enterprises to the private sector; managing the enterprises that have not yet been privatized.
An abstract Model of the Transition consist of three main phases:
Phase 1: The cabinet-level negative phase
In this phase members of the central government interact with nationally representative interest groups. The tasks are organized into two categories: they will determine the general institutional structure of society and set guidelines that will be used in phase 2 to assign each enterprise to one of many alternative "transition regimes".
Phase 2: The assigned phase
In this phase state-owned enterprises are matched with transition regimes. One can assume that each state-owned enterprise is completely described by some vector of attributes. These attributes specify such diverse aspects of the enterprise as:
a) the nature of the products produced by the enterprise, a description of its plant and equipment, and technology it utilized; b) a description of its financial states; c) the place of the enterprise within its industry, including its market share and the nature of its competition; d) some indication of the risk profile of the firm; e) the distribution of information within the enterprise; f) the nature of "measurement errors" in monitoring the performance of the enterprise; g) the relationship between the enterprise and the state bureaucracy; h) the "distance" between the enterprise and founding ministry; i) any potential synergies between the enterprise and some prospective foreign investor.
Phase 3: The enterprise-level negotiation phase
In this phase participants at the participants at the level of each enterprise play an MB game (multilateral bargaining). For each enterprise the structural parameters of the game are included in the characterization of the transition regime to which the enterprise is assigned.
2. The Emergence of Market Economy in European Countries.
2.1. The Transition to a Market Economy
1) The Successes and Failures of Central Planning.
Before considering the transition to a market economy, we must consider the need for such a transition. Today the need is clear: socialist and communist systems have failed to deliver (in a liberal sense) anything like the standard of material advance so often promised.
But more recent rasy assessments of central planning abound. Even as
late as 1979 the World Bank published a long and detailed study of Romania
– the most Stalinist of the eastern block. The Bank found that from 1950 to
1975 the Romanian economy had grown faster than any other country in the
world (9,8 percent per annum). The Bank attributed this startling
performance to the fact that government, through its system of central
planning, had control of all resources. The Bank forecast a rasy future for
Romania – growing at 8,7 percent per capita to 1990. Nor was Romania an
aberration. The Bank published in that same year of 1979 a most rasy
history of, and prognostication for Yugoslavia. Studies up to 1984
continued to show that central planning, albeit somewhat modified in
places, delivered the goods.
This review is not intended to score paints, but simply to remind us of the long addiction of economists to planning and regulation.
2) Transitions
The transition to a market economy always and at all times involves a familiar list of policies.
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